Active pattern set to continue through Sunday evening. Severe storm threat has decreased a bit this morning but flash flooding threat will continue for a few more hours. Numerous reports of street and low-area flooding being reported this morning as heavy rains continue over much of SE MO and S IL. South of the frontal boundary it is warm, humid and dry over the Bootheel, NW TN and W KY. By mid-morning the front should push north and by afternoon we should get a break in the storms, with warm, humid and breezy conditions. Note that this will be a very warm day for southeastern counties, where afternoon temps will be well into the mid 80s...with dew points near 70. However, this could set us up for more strong to severe storms this evening and tonight as a front approaches from the west. Still under an 'enhanced' threat of severe for today/tonight.
Rain and T'storms will continue Sunday as a deep upper trough approaches from the west. The severe threat will gradually decrease from west to east as we cool down, but the flash flooding threat will continue as more heavy rain is likely. Finally this pattern will push east by Sunday night...with cool, windy and dry conditions on Monday on the back side of the upper trough. Yet another system will move through about mid-week (Wed) next week, as yet another upper low cuts off over the Southeastern states by the end of the week. At this point, next weekend is looking much nicer as we get into early May.
4/29 5 am ba