All forecast models are coming together this morning in good agreement that our region of the country is in for a major winter weather outbreak over the next few days.
Today will be breezy and warm ahead of the approaching cold front....rain chances have decreased to just a slight mention. Wouldn't be surprised if this were the warmest day of the rest of the month...with highs likely approaching or exceeding 70° this afternoon....before cold front slides through with a few rain showers later tonight.
No time for too much detail here, other than to say that we are going to have a strong southwest flow aloft combined with strong cold northerly flow at the surface. This will set us up for a variety of precip types beginning in northern counties Thursday afternoon...then increasing Thursday night into about mid-day Friday.
On Friday colder air pushes in gradually and precip should transition from frz rain/sleet to snow from north to south.
Without getting to ambitious....it does look as though this system could bring up to an inch of clear ice to southern counties...with up to 6 inches of snow on top of some sleet and ice in nortnorthernnties....before ending late Friday.
Very cold and dry on Saturday, but models are still giving us another moderately strong snow or rain/snow storm on Sunday. Currently looking more like a mostly snow event...with a few to several inches possible...but if the system is a bit warmer than anticipated...could be more ice at least in southern sections.